kerrey in the nebraska race this time around, and they have given up on him, but my belief is that he will get by not just with the democratic vote, but the republican votes. >> do you believe he gets confirmed? >> yes, i do, but what is telling is that the silence is deaf deafening. and chuck hagel does not have a home and a natural constituency, so many in his own party is coming out, and what is telling is that you don't have a whole lot of democrats that are overenthusiastic about the candidacy and that is telling. >> let's talk about the second-term curse and we want to put a graphic ston screen -- graphic up on the screen and this is telling, president nixon with the watergate scandal, and president reagan with the iran-contra affair, and president clinton impeached, and president bush faced the great recession and hurricane katrina. >> and well sh, the hubris that people use for the second term overreach. i don't think that barack obama is self-confident and you see a seemingly different president to d today than we saw a year or two ago when we went through the debt nonsense i